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Institutional investor expectations remain high in 2014

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Institutional investor expectations for 2014 remain positive, according to the annual Commonfund Forum survey, which gauges the sentiments of the more than 500 participants attending the 2014 Commonfund Forum.

This year’s data was collected from 200 attendees representing a broad range of non-profit institutional investors and pension funds with combined assets of USD163bn.
 
Overall, investor expectations for 2014 are reasonably strong with an average forecast for the S&P 500 Index of 6.5 per cent and a median forecast of seven per cent. This represents a slight decrease from last year’s average forecast of 7.9 per cent and a median forecast of 8.0 per cent.
 
The dispersion of expected annual performance narrowed with 60 per cent of respondents expecting a return of between five and eight per cent. Over a three-year period, performance expectations were slightly lower with an average annual forecast for the S&P 500 Index over the next three years of 6.25 per cent, compared with last year’s 7.1 per cent.
 
“The data indicates a level of realistic optimism that’s both refreshing and important,” says Verne Sedlacek, president and CEO of Commonfund. “Additionally, despite recent discussions surrounding emerging markets, we were pleased to see that investors have a positive viewpoint towards it, in addition to other long-term strategies.”

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