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Global hedge fund industry surges through 2Q volatility

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HFR writes that total global hedge fund capital surged to a record level in 2Q 2025 as hedge funds successfully navigated the violent volatility to begin the quarter, with the risk environment evolving rapidly through quarter-end towards the passage of US budget legislation, improved 2H economic outlook, progress on trade and tariffs, and moderation of geopolitical risks.

Industry capital rose to a seventh consecutive quarterly record as hedge fund managers and institutional investors navigated through the 2Q volatility into powerful risk-on sentiment, with total global hedge fund capital rising to an estimated USD4.74 trillion, an increase of USD212.7 billion over the prior quarter.

Investors allocated an estimated USD24.8 billion of net capital to hedge funds in 2Q25, the highest quarterly net asset inflow since 2Q 2014, bringing 1H25 inflows to an estimated USD37.3 billion, the strongest first half of inflows since 2015.

Hedge funds posted strong performance in 2Q25 with the HFRI Fund Weighted Composite Index (FWC) advancing +4.3 per cent for the quarter, led by the HFRI Equity Hedge (Total) Index, which gained +7.6 per cent, and the HFRI Event-Driven (Total) Index, which added +5.3 per cent. Through the first half of 2025, the HFRI FWC Index gained +3.9 per cent, driven by the HFRI Macro: Discretionary Thematic Index, which surged +8.6 per cent despite a challenging Macro environment, while the HFRI Emerging Markets: Latin America Index led regional-focused indices in 1H25, jumping +13.9 per cent.

Capital managed by Equity Hedge (EH) strategies grew by an estimated USD90 billion in 2Q25, inclusive of a net asset inflow of USD5.1 billion, bringing total EH capital to an estimated USD1.4 trillion. EH sub-strategy asset increases were led by Fundamental Value funds in 2Q25, which increased by an estimated USD48.3 billion from the prior quarter, while EH sub-strategy performance was led by the HFRI EH: Fundamental Growth Index, which surged +10.7 per cent in 2Q.

Event-Driven (ED) strategies, which categorically focus on out of favour, deep value equity and credit positions, saw total capital surge by an estimated USD81.2 billion in 2Q25, inclusive of a net asset inflow of USD4.7 billion, bringing total ED capital to an estimated USD1.34 trillion. ED sub-strategy performance and asset increases were led by Special Situations funds in 2Q, which rose by an estimated USD45.4 billion from the prior quarter, with the HFRI ED: Special Situations Index vaulting +8.9 percent in 2Q.

Capital invested in credit- and interest rate-sensitive fixed income-based Relative Value Arbitrage (RVA) strategies increased by an estimated USD36.5 billion in 2Q, inclusive of a net asset investor inflow of USD7.7 billion, bringing total RVA capital to an estimated USD1.28 trillion. Multi-Strategy funds led RVA asset growth in 2Q25, adding an estimated USD22.8 billion of capital on strong quarterly performance and an estimated USD3.7 billion of net asset inflows, ending the quarter with an estimated USD783.0 billion AUM. The HFRI Relative Value (Total) Index-Asset Weighted advanced +2.5 percent in 2Q25 and has posted positive performance in 25 of the trailing 27 months. RVA sub-strategy quarterly performance was led by the HFRI RV: Fixed Income-Asset Backed Index, which jumped +2.1 percent in 2Q25.

Assets managed by uncorrelated Macro strategies increased by an estimated USD5.3 billion in 2Q25, inclusive of an estimated net asset inflow of USD7.2 billion, bringing total Macro capital to an estimated USD725.5 billion. Macro sub-strategy asset increases in 2Q25 were led by Multi-Strategy funds, which grew by an estimated USD9.7 billion over the prior quarter. The HFRI Macro (Total) Index declined -1.4 percent in 2Q25, driven lower by the HFRI Macro: Systematic Diversified Index, which fell -5.0 percent for the quarter, while the HFRI Macro: Discretionary Thematic Index gained +3.1 percent in 2Q25.

Investor inflows in 2Q25 were concentrated in the industry’s largest firms, the firm writes, as managers with greater than USD5 billion experienced estimated inflows of USD22.9 billion, while mid-sized firms managing between USD1 and USD5 billion saw estimated inflows of USD1.77 billion for the quarter, and firms managing less than USD1 billion to begin the quarter experienced net inflows of an estimated USD0.15 billion. For 1H25, the largest firms experienced estimated inflows of USD29.9 billion, mid-sized firms saw estimated inflows of USD3.2 billion, and smaller firms experienced inflows of USD4.2 billion.

“Driven by strong performance after successfully navigating historic volatility in early 2Q, the hedge fund industry experienced its strongest growth in over a decade, as investors allocated nearly USD25 billion of net capital to an industry that just reached its seventh consecutive quarterly asset record level”, says Kenneth J. Heinz, President of HFR. “Both asset and performance gains were widespread across nearly every strategy, sub-strategy and cross section of exposure, as managers effectively demonstrated tactical flexibility by adapting their exposures to the dynamic environment driven by continuous adjustment to evolving policy trends and the impacts these continue to have on international trade, supply chains, technology infrastructure investment, energy/commodity markets and monetary policy, including inflation and interest rate expectations. As we experienced in 2Q and 1H25, institutions are likely to continue expanding allocations to funds which have demonstrated their strategy’s ability to deliver strong, uncorrelated performance gains through the dislocation and disruptive market cycles of 1H25.”

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